Concarneau vs Thionville

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Thionville favourites at 55% (Concarneau 25%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 1.25. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 56%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.