Concarneau vs Bastia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Concarneau favourites at 60% (Bastia 17%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.58 to 0.68 and 5 wins in Concarneau's last 10 matches to 3 for Bastia. It put over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 23%.

Key facts before the match

• Concarneau are unbeaten in 8 matches.
• Concarneau have not beaten Bastia in the last 5 meetings (1 wins for Bastia, 4 draws).
• They last met on 23 Apr 2024, when Bastia won 2-0.
• Only 1 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.