Colchester vs Rochdale

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Colchester favourites at 67% (Rochdale 16%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.22 to 0.95 and 3 wins in Colchester's last 10 matches to 1 for Rochdale. Rochdale lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 60%. Colchester won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Rochdale have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 14 Jan 2023, when Colchester won 2-1.