Chesterfield vs Gillingham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Chesterfield favourites at 50% (Gillingham 24%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.29 to 0.78. Gillingham come in with the better recent form (4 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 43%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 26%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 Feb 2026, when Chesterfield won 1-0.