Football · Efbet League · Bulgaria
Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Cherno More favourites at 47% (Septemvri Sofia 30%, draw 23%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Cherno More about 57% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 47%.
Key facts
- Septemvri Sofia have lost 5 matches in a row.
- Cherno More are 14th in Efbet League on 6 points from 11 games; Septemvri Sofia are 13th on 8.
- They last met on 7 Mar 2026, when Cherno More won 3-0.
Bulgaria•Efbet League
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
11/169/20
1.100.90
1.602.00
6/107/10
3/102/10
8/108/10
4/107/10
2/102/10
4/103/10
7/108/10
5/107/10
4/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Cherno More at homeSeptemvri Sofia away
55
2/51/5
1/51/5
2/53/5
1.200.80
1.201.60
3/54/5
2/50/5
1/50/5
4/54/5
2/53/5
1/51/5
2/51/5
2/53/5
2/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Cherno More: 1.51
Expected Goals
Septemvri Sofia: 1.16
Cherno More
47%
Draw
23%
Septemvri Sofia
30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 47%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.4%
1 — Cherno More
1.62▼
Implied 57%
Edge -10.0%
X
3.70▲
Implied 25%
Edge -1.9%
2 — Septemvri Sofia
5.10▲
Implied 18%
Edge +11.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Cherno More · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Cherno More#14 vs Lok. Plovdiv#11
0-1L
17 Oct2026
Marek vs Cherno More#14
0-3W
11 Oct2026
Cherno More#14 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-2L
04 Oct2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Cherno More#14
5-0L
26 Sept2026
Cherno More#14 vs Dunav Ruse#9
1-0W
19 Sept2026
Arda#6 vs Cherno More#14
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Cherno More#14 vs Lok. Sofia#12
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Cherno More#14
1-0L
30 Aug2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Cherno More#14
3-1L
21 Aug2026
Cherno More#14 vs Dunav Ruse#9
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Septemvri Sofia · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Lok. Gorna vs Septemvri Sofia#13
2-1L
11 Oct2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Dunav Ruse#9
2-3L
19 Sept2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Botev Plovdiv#5
0-3L
14 Sept2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
2-1L
04 Sept2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Botev Vratsa#10
2-3L
28 Aug2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cska 1948 Sofia#4
1-0W
17 Aug2026
Spartak Varna#7 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
0-1W
09 Aug2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cska Sofia#2
0-3L
01 Aug2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
3-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
07 Mar2026
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cherno More#14
0-3•
27 Sept2025
Cherno More#14 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
1-1•
29 Nov2024
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cherno More#14
1-2•
29 Jul2024
Cherno More#14 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
2-0•
17 Mar2023
Cherno More#14 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
3-0•
05 Sept2022
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cherno More#14
0-0•
24 Nov2018
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cherno More#14
2-1•
04 Aug2018
Cherno More#14 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
1-5•
11 May2018
Septemvri Sofia#13 vs Cherno More#14
1-2•
05 May2018
Cherno More#14 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Cherno More
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