Football · FNL · Russia
Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Veles Moscow favourites at 42% (Chelyabinsk 33%, draw 25%). That rests on Veles Moscow sitting 5th in the table to Chelyabinsk's 11th. Chelyabinsk come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Veles Moscow about 26% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Key facts
- Both teams scored in 7 of Chelyabinsk's last 10 matches and 8 of Veles Moscow's.
- They last met on 19 Jul 2026, when Veles Moscow won 1-0.
Russia•FNL
vs
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1210/12
1.601.00
1.201.20
9/108/10
5/102/10
8/1010/10
3/102/10
2/100/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
5/104/10
7/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Chelyabinsk at homeVeles Moscow away
45
2/41/5
1/42/5
1/42/5
1.500.80
1.251.00
4/43/5
2/41/5
0/40/5
3/45/5
1/40/5
1/40/5
0/42/5
2/41/5
3/43/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Chelyabinsk: 1.11
Expected Goals
Veles Moscow: 1.29
Chelyabinsk
33%
Draw
25%
Veles Moscow
42%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.8%
1 — Chelyabinsk
2.00▼
Implied 46%
Edge -12.5%
X
3.20
Implied 28%
Edge -3.5%
2 — Veles Moscow
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge +16.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Chelyabinsk · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Arsenal Tula#12 vs Chelyabinsk#11
1-2W
01 Nov2026
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
2-0W
25 Oct2026
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Ural#2
1-3L
18 Oct2026
Tekstilshtik#18 vs Chelyabinsk#11
2-1L
13 Oct2026
s. Kostroma#6 vs Chelyabinsk#11
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Neftekhimik#17 vs Chelyabinsk#11
2-4W
26 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Yenisey#14
1-1D
18 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Ufa#9
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Kamaz#16 vs Chelyabinsk#11
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Dynamo Barnaul vs Chelyabinsk#11
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Veles Moscow · # = league position now
09 Nov2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs Kamaz#16
2-1W
30 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs s. Kostroma#6
1-1D
25 Oct2026
Ulyanovsk#8 vs Veles Moscow#5
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Ural#2 vs Veles Moscow#5
1-2W
04 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs Ulyanovsk#8
1-2L
17 Sept2026
Torpedo Moscow#4 vs Veles Moscow#5
1-1D
14 Sept2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs Sochi#3
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Murom vs Veles Moscow#5
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Ufa#9 vs Veles Moscow#5
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Jul2026
Veles Moscow#5 vs Chelyabinsk#11
1-0•
08 Jun2025
Veles Moscow#5 vs Chelyabinsk#11
2-1•
23 Apr2025
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Veles Moscow#5
3-1•
10 Nov2024
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Veles Moscow#5
1-3•
15 Sept2024
Veles Moscow#5 vs Chelyabinsk#11
1-3•
26 May2024
Veles Moscow#5 vs Chelyabinsk#11
0-1•
14 Apr2024
Chelyabinsk#11 vs Veles Moscow#5
0-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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