Cheltenham vs Grimsby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Grimsby favourites at 56% (Cheltenham 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.91 to 1.18, 5 wins in Grimsby's last 10 matches to 3 for Cheltenham and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 24 Jan 2026, when Grimsby won 2-0.