Celoricense vs Pevidem

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Celoricense favourites at 52% (Pevidem 16%, draw 32%). That rests on expected goals of 1.06 to 0.42 and 4 wins in Celoricense's last 10 matches to 1 for Pevidem. It put over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams scoring at 27%. Celoricense won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Celoricense are unbeaten in 6 matches.