Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made FC Porto favourites at 90% (Casa Pia 2%, draw 8%). That rests on expected goals of 2.58 to 0.10, 8 wins in FC Porto's last 10 matches to 2 for Casa Pia and 7 wins from the last 9 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 20%. FC Porto won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Casa Pia have gone 7 matches without a win.
• They last met on 2 Feb 2026, when Casa Pia won 2-1.