Carrarese vs Mantova

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mantova favourites at 61% (Carrarese 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.99 to 1.02 and 7 wins in Mantova's last 10 matches to 3 for Carrarese. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 52%. Mantova won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Carrarese have not beaten Mantova in the last 4 meetings (1 wins for Mantova, 3 draws).
• They last met on 1 Mar 2026, when it finished 1-1.