Football · Serie B · Italy
Carrarese vs Arezzo
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Carrarese favourites at 41% (Arezzo 33%, draw 26%). Bookmakers give Carrarese about 42% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- Carrarese are 17th in Serie B on 7 points from 8 games; Arezzo are 10th on 10.
- Arezzo failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
- They last met on 14 Jan 2024, when Arezzo won 3-2.
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Italy•Serie B
vs
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
8/108/20
0.800.80
1.002.00
6/105/10
2/103/10
8/108/10
2/105/10
2/102/10
4/105/10
5/107/10
3/106/10
4/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Carrarese at homeArezzo away
46
1/43/6
0/40/6
3/43/6
0.750.83
1.251.67
2/43/6
1/42/6
0/40/6
4/45/6
1/42/6
0/41/6
2/43/6
2/43/6
2/42/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Carrarese: 1.23
Expected Goals
Arezzo: 1.05
Carrarese
41%
Draw
26%
Arezzo
33%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Carrarese
2.20▼
Implied 42%
Edge -1.1%
X
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -2.1%
2 — Arezzo
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge +3.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Carrarese · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Palermo#1 vs Carrarese#17
2-1L
17 Oct2026
Carrarese#17 vs Modena#3
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Padova#9 vs Carrarese#17
0-2W
19 Sept2026
Carrarese#17 vs Benevento#5
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Catanzaro#20 vs Carrarese#17
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Carrarese#17 vs Empoli#16
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Ascoli#4 vs Carrarese#17
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Carrarese#17 vs Mantova#2
1-2L
15 Aug2026
Torino#8 vs Carrarese#17
1-0L
08 Aug2026
Entella#12 vs Carrarese#17
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Arezzo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Arezzo#10 vs Benevento#5
0-3L
18 Oct2026
Sampdoria#19 vs Arezzo#10
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Arezzo#10 vs Cremonese#18
0-0D
27 Sept2026
Lazio#2 vs Arezzo#10
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Arezzo#10 vs Sudtirol#7
1-4L
11 Sept2026
Empoli#16 vs Arezzo#10
0-1W
06 Sept2026
Verona#11 vs Arezzo#10
5-0L
30 Aug2026
Arezzo#10 vs Palermo#1
2-3L
22 Aug2026
Avellino#8 vs Arezzo#10
1-2W
14 Aug2026
Cagliari#9 vs Arezzo#10
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Jan2024
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
2-3•
09 Sept2023
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
1-3•
13 Aug2022
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
3-1•
17 Nov2019
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
2-2•
16 Mar2019
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
3-0•
19 Nov2018
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
2-2•
05 May2018
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
0-1•
17 Dec2017
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
1-1•
30 Dec2016
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
2-1•
04 Sept2016
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
1-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Carrarese
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