Cardiff vs Birmingham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Birmingham favourites at 52% (Cardiff 28%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.91 to 1.33 and 5 wins in Birmingham's last 10 matches to 2 for Cardiff. Cardiff lead the head-to-head 6-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 61%. Cardiff won 1-0, against the model's 52% for Birmingham.

Key facts before the match

• Birmingham have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 10 Apr 2024, when Cardiff won 1-0.