Cannes vs Fleury-Merogis

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Cannes favourites at 59% (Fleury-Merogis 22%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 1.14 and 6 wins in Cannes's last 10 matches to 3 for Fleury-Merogis. It put over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 52%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Fleury-Merogis have gone 7 matches without a win.