Caen vs Valenciennes

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Caen favourites at 49% (Valenciennes 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.69 to 1.22 and 6 wins in Caen's last 10 matches to 3 for Valenciennes. It put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 57%. Caen won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Valenciennes are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when Valenciennes won 2-1.