Bury vs Harrogate

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Bury favourites at 62% (Harrogate 21%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.41 to 1.35. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 62%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 17%.

Key facts before the match

• Harrogate have won 4 matches in a row.