Burton vs AFC Wimbledon

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Burton favourites at 52% (AFC Wimbledon 22%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.34 to 0.75 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams scoring at 42%. Burton won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Burton won 1-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.