Burnley vs Wolves

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wolves favourites at 57% (Burnley 22%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 1.00 and 5 wins in Wolves's last 10 matches to 1 for Burnley. Burnley lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 55%. Wolves won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 24 May 2026, when it finished 1-1.