Burnley vs West Ham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Ham favourites at 54% (Burnley 24%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.69 to 1.02, 4 wins in West Ham's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 58%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• West Ham are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when West Ham won 2-0.