Burnley vs Charlton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Burnley favourites at 41% (Charlton 37%, draw 22%). That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Charlton come in with the better recent form (3 wins from 10 to 1), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 50%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

• Charlton have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 7 May 2016, when Burnley won 3-0.