Brentford vs Sunderland

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Brentford favourites at 70% (Sunderland 15%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.65 to 1.14 and 3 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 15%.

Key facts before the match

• Brentford are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 7 Jan 2026, when Brentford won 3-0.
• 4 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.