Braga vs Gent

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Gent favourites at 78% (Braga 7%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.43 and 7 wins in Gent's last 10 matches to 4 for Braga. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 37%. Braga won 2-0, against the model's 78% for Gent.

Key facts before the match

• Gent are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Braga have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 24 Nov 2016, when it finished 2-2.