Football · EFL Trophy · England
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Aston Villa U21 favourites at 43% (Blackpool 38%, draw 19%). That rests on 3 wins in Aston Villa U21's last 10 matches to 1 for Blackpool. Bookmakers give Aston Villa U21 about 15% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 73%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Blackpool's last 10 matches and 8 of Aston Villa U21's.
- Blackpool have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Blackpool's last 10 matches and 7 of Aston Villa U21's.
- Blackpool are 3rd in EFL Trophy on 2 points from 2 games; Aston Villa U21 are 4th on 0.
- They last met on 17 Dec 2024, when it finished 1-1.
England•EFL Trophy
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
13/2318/23
1.301.80
2.302.30
8/108/10
5/106/10
9/109/10
8/107/10
1/101/10
2/102/10
9/109/10
7/108/10
7/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Blackpool at homeAston Villa U21 away
55
1/51/5
2/51/5
2/53/5
1.801.80
2.402.60
5/55/5
4/53/5
0/51/5
4/54/5
4/54/5
1/51/5
0/50/5
4/54/5
4/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Blackpool: 1.95
Expected Goals
Aston Villa U21: 2.05
Blackpool
38%
Draw
19%
Aston Villa U21
43%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 73%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 11.2%
1 — Blackpool
1.37▼
Implied 66%
Edge -27.6%
X
4.70▲
Implied 19%
Edge -0.1%
2 — Aston Villa U21
5.90▲
Implied 15%
Edge +27.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Blackpool · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Blackpool#3 vs Mansfield#4
1-4L
20 Oct2026
Blackpool#3 vs mk Dons#1
2-0W
17 Oct2026
Leyton Orient#4 vs Blackpool#3
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Cambridge Utd#1 vs Blackpool#3
1-0L
06 Oct2026
Blackpool#3 vs Crewe#2
2-2D
22 Sept2026
Wigan#1 vs Blackpool#3
3-2L
19 Sept2026
Blackpool#3 vs Plymouth#1
2-4L
12 Sept2026
Blackpool#3 vs Bromley#4
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Reading#3 vs Blackpool#3
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Barnsley#4 vs Blackpool#3
2-1L
Team 2 Form
Aston Villa U21 · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21#4
0-1W
22 Sept2026
Crewe#2 vs Aston Villa U21#4
4-1L
18 Sept2026
Aston Villa U21#4 vs Middlesbrough U21
2-2D
15 Sept2026
Aston Villa U21#4 vs Real Sociedad b#19
5-1W
11 Sept2026
Fulham U21#4 vs Aston Villa U21#4
3-3D
02 Sept2026
Aston Villa U21#4 vs Brondby U21
0-4L
28 Aug2026
Aston Villa U21#4 vs Crystal Palace U21#3
0-2L
21 Aug2026
Aston Villa U21#4 vs Brighton U21#2
2-1W
18 Aug2026
Wigan#1 vs Aston Villa U21#4
3-2L
01 Aug2026
Shrewsbury#4 vs Aston Villa U21#4
3-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Dec2024
Blackpool#3 vs Aston Villa U21#4
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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