Birmingham vs New Mexico

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made New Mexico favourites at 62% (Birmingham 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.77 and 6 wins in New Mexico's last 10 matches to 2 for Birmingham. Birmingham lead the head-to-head 2-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 4-4, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• New Mexico have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 21 Jul 2024, when it finished 1-1.