Besiktas vs Marseille

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Marseille favourites at 51% (Besiktas 27%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.71 to 1.15. Besiktas come in with the better recent form (8 wins from 10 to 5), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 46%. Besiktas won 4-1, against the model's 51% for Marseille.

Key facts before the match

• Besiktas have won 3 matches in a row.
• Marseille have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 28 Nov 2007, when Besiktas won 2-1.