Benfica (POR) vs Aarhus (DEN)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Benfica (POR) favourites at 66% (Aarhus (DEN) 18%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.71 to 1.35 and 6 wins in Benfica (POR)'s last 10 matches to 4 for Aarhus (DEN). It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 69%. Benfica (POR) won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Benfica (POR) are unbeaten in 6 matches.