Belarus vs San Marino

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Belarus favourites at 72% (San Marino 14%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.77 to 1.13 and 3 wins in Belarus's last 10 matches to 0 for San Marino. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 56%. Belarus won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• San Marino have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 18 Nov 2018, when Belarus won 2-0.