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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Bayern Munich vs Hertha Berlin

Tuesday, 01 December 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Bayern Munich favourites at 58% (Hertha Berlin 24%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.38 to 1.50 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Hertha Berlin come in with the better recent form (8 wins from 10 to 6), which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Bayern Munich about 88% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 66%.

Key facts

  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 10 matches.
  • Hertha Berlin have won 4 matches in a row.
  • Over 2.5 goals came in 9 of Bayern Munich's last 10 matches and 7 of Hertha Berlin's.
  • Bayern Munich scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Bayern Munich have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Bayern Munich(9)
W1d
W5d
D8d
W11d
W14d
D18d
W22d
D26d
D29d
W51d
6W · 4D · 0L
vs
Hertha Berlin(0)
W1d
W8d
W11d
W15d
D23d
W28d
D37d
W40d
W50d
W56d
8W · 2D · 0L
Tuesday, 01 December 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 9-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
35/1320/7
3.502.00
1.300.70
10/109/10
10/108/10
8/106/10
4/101/10
2/104/10
0/101/10
10/108/10
9/107/10
8/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bayern Munich at homeHertha Berlin away
57
3/55/7
2/52/7
0/50/7
4.602.14
1.200.71
5/56/7
5/56/7
3/53/7
4/54/7
2/51/7
1/53/7
0/51/7
5/55/7
4/54/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bayern Munich: 2.38
Expected Goals
Hertha Berlin: 1.5
Bayern Munich
58%
Draw
18%
Hertha Berlin
24%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.7%
1 — Bayern Munich
1.07▼
Implied 88%
Edge -30.4%
X
13.00▲
Implied 7%
Edge +10.7%
2 — Hertha Berlin
22.00▲
Implied 4%
Edge +19.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bayern Munich · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Mainz#11 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-2W
03 Nov2026
Atl. Madrid#3 vs Bayern Munich#1
0-2W
31 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
2-2D
28 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Magdeburg#5
6-1W
25 Oct2026
Freiburg#4 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-3W
21 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Arsenal#1
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs rb Leipzig#3
6-1W
13 Oct2026
Viking#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
3-3D
10 Oct2026
Augsburg#13 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-2D
18 Sept2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Union Berlin#16
7-0W
Team 2 Form
Hertha Berlin · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Wolfsburg#4
2-1W
31 Oct2026
Kaiserslautern#3 vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-3W
28 Oct2026
Jeddeloh vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-2W
24 Oct2026
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Arminia Bielefeld#6
1-0W
16 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Greuther Furth#9
2-1W
02 Oct2026
Augsburg#13 vs Hertha Berlin#1
2-2D
29 Sept2026
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Hertha Berlin#1
1-3W
19 Sept2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#14 vs Hertha Berlin#1
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Vfl Osnabruck#13 vs Hertha Berlin#1
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
30 Apr2023
Bayern Munich#1 vs Hertha Berlin#1
2-0•
05 Nov2022
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-3•
23 Jan2022
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-4•
28 Aug2021
Bayern Munich#1 vs Hertha Berlin#1
5-0•
05 Feb2021
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
0-1•
04 Oct2020
Bayern Munich#1 vs Hertha Berlin#1
4-3•
19 Jan2020
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
0-4•
16 Aug2019
Bayern Munich#1 vs Hertha Berlin#1
2-2•
23 Feb2019
Bayern Munich#1 vs Hertha Berlin#1
1-0•
06 Feb2019
Hertha Berlin#1 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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