Bayer Leverkusen (GER) vs Genk (BEL)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Bayer Leverkusen (GER) favourites at 50% (Genk (BEL) 30%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.54, 6 wins in Bayer Leverkusen (GER)'s last 10 matches to 4 for Genk (BEL) and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 64%. Bayer Leverkusen (GER) won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 6 Dec 2011, when it finished 1-1.