Barrow vs Hornchurch

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hornchurch favourites at 73% (Barrow 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 0.69 and 7 wins in Hornchurch's last 10 matches to 5 for Barrow. It put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 42%. Hornchurch won 2-1, as the model expected.