Barrow vs Aldershot

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Aldershot favourites at 53% (Barrow 23%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 0.88. Barrow lead the head-to-head 7-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 53%. Barrow won 1-0, against the model's 53% for Aldershot.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Dec 2019, when Barrow won 1-0.