Barnsley vs Stevenage

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Barnsley favourites at 67% (Stevenage 12%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.71 to 0.53 and 5 wins in Barnsley's last 10 matches to 3 for Stevenage. Stevenage lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 40%. Stevenage won 5-1, against the model's 67% for Barnsley.

Key facts before the match

• Stevenage have gone 5 matches without a win.
• Barnsley have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 21 Apr 2026, when Stevenage won 1-0.