AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 63% (Willem II 21%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.81 to 1.60 and 8 wins in AZ Alkmaar's last 10 matches to 4 for Willem II. It put over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 69%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 16%.

Key facts before the match

• AZ Alkmaar have won 8 matches in a row.
• They last met on 2 Feb 2025, when AZ Alkmaar won 2-0.