AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Den Haag favourites at 54% (AZ Alkmaar 28%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.36 to 1.67 and 8 wins in Den Haag's last 10 matches to 4 for AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar lead the head-to-head 7-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 65%. AZ Alkmaar won 2-0, against the model's 54% for Den Haag.

Key facts before the match

• Den Haag are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• AZ Alkmaar have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 16 Jan 2021, when AZ Alkmaar won 2-1.