Ayr vs Inverness

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ayr favourites at 63% (Inverness 17%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 0.80 and 5 wins in Ayr's last 10 matches to 3 for Inverness. Inverness lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 53%. Inverness won 3-1, against the model's 63% for Ayr.

Key facts before the match

• Inverness have gone 6 matches without a win.
• Ayr have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 24 Feb 2026, when Inverness won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.