Avellino vs Arezzo

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Avellino favourites at 79% (Arezzo 10%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 3.34 to 1.14 and 5 wins in Avellino's last 10 matches to 3 for Arezzo. Arezzo lead the head-to-head 2-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 54%. Arezzo won 2-1, against the model's 79% for Avellino.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Mar 2006, when Arezzo won 2-0.