Avai vs America MG

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Avai favourites at 58% (America MG 18%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 0.70 and 3 wins in Avai's last 10 matches to 1 for America MG. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 44%. Avai won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• America MG have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 3 Sept 2025, when America MG won 2-0.