Football · Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre vs Le Mans
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Auxerre favourites at 57% (Le Mans 24%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 1.24, 5 wins in Auxerre's last 10 matches to 1 for Le Mans and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 67%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Auxerre's last 10 matches and 7 of Le Mans's.
- Auxerre scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Auxerre are 13th in Ligue 1 on 9 points from 7 games; Le Mans are 16th on 6.
- Auxerre have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Auxerre's last 10 matches and 7 of Le Mans's.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 8-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
17/2111/18
1.701.10
2.101.80
10/107/10
4/104/10
8/109/10
5/106/10
2/101/10
0/103/10
8/108/10
7/107/10
8/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Auxerre at homele Mans away
55
3/50/5
1/52/5
1/53/5
1.801.00
1.601.80
5/54/5
2/51/5
1/50/5
4/54/5
2/53/5
1/51/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
4/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Auxerre: 2.05
Expected Goals
le Mans: 1.24
Auxerre
57%
Draw
19%
le Mans
24%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 67%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.7%
1 — Auxerre
2.10▼
Implied 45%
Edge +11.9%
X
3.60
Implied 26%
Edge -7.3%
2 — Le Mans
3.30▲
Implied 29%
Edge -4.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Auxerre · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
le Havre#18 vs Auxerre#13
1-3W
11 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Auxerre#13
4-1L
02 Oct2026
Auxerre#13 vs Clermont#16
4-3W
20 Sept2026
Auxerre#13 vs Brest#11
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Auxerre#13 vs Nice#8
1-0W
04 Sept2026
Lyon#1 vs Auxerre#13
3-1L
29 Aug2026
Auxerre#13 vs Angers#15
1-3L
22 Aug2026
Lens#9 vs Auxerre#13
5-2L
15 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Auxerre#13
0-1W
08 Aug2026
Auxerre#13 vs Troyes#17
1-1D
Team 2 Form
le Mans · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
le Mans#16 vs Toulouse#12
0-3L
10 Oct2026
Psg#2 vs le Mans#16
3-1L
02 Oct2026
Guingamp#11 vs le Mans#16
2-1L
19 Sept2026
le Mans#16 vs Lorient#7
2-1W
13 Sept2026
le Mans#16 vs Lens#9
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Nice#8 vs le Mans#16
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Rennes#6 vs le Mans#16
3-2L
22 Aug2026
le Mans#16 vs Brest#11
2-2D
15 Aug2026
le Mans#16 vs le Havre#18
0-1L
08 Aug2026
Saumur Olympique vs le Mans#16
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Aug2020
Auxerre#13 vs le Mans#16
3-2•
10 Jan2020
le Mans#16 vs Auxerre#13
0-1•
02 Aug2019
Auxerre#13 vs le Mans#16
2-0•
25 Jan2013
Auxerre#13 vs le Mans#16
1-1•
20 Aug2012
le Mans#16 vs Auxerre#13
3-1•
20 Mar2010
Auxerre#13 vs le Mans#16
2-1•
07 Nov2009
le Mans#16 vs Auxerre#13
0-1•
25 Jul2009
le Mans#16 vs Auxerre#13
0-1•
21 Mar2009
Auxerre#13 vs le Mans#16
2-0•
29 Oct2008
le Mans#16 vs Auxerre#13
0-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Auxerre
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