Atalanta vs Venezia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Atalanta favourites at 73% (Venezia 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 0.68, 5 wins in Atalanta's last 10 matches to 2 for Venezia and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 40%. Atalanta won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Venezia have lost 6 matches in a row.
• Atalanta have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Mar 2025, when it finished 0-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.