Atalanta vs Bologna

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Atalanta favourites at 57% (Bologna 21%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.65 to 0.89 and 5 wins in Atalanta's last 9 matches to 3 for Bologna. It put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 45%. Atalanta won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Atalanta are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• Bologna have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 17 May 2026, when Bologna won 1-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.