Aston Villa vs Brentford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Brentford favourites at 75% (Aston Villa 11%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.63 to 0.91 and 6 wins in Brentford's last 10 matches to 4 for Aston Villa. Aston Villa lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 58%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 14%.

Key facts before the match

• Brentford are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Aston Villa have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Feb 2026, when Brentford won 1-0.