Football · Serie B · Italy
Ascoli vs Sampdoria
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Ascoli favourites at 79% (Sampdoria 7%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.28 to 0.50, Ascoli sitting 4th in the table to Sampdoria's 19th and 5 wins in Ascoli's last 10 matches to 2 for Sampdoria. Sampdoria lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Ascoli about 42% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- Ascoli have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Ascoli's last 10 matches and 7 of Sampdoria's.
- They last met on 11 Mar 2024, when Sampdoria won 2-1.
Italy•Serie B
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-4-4
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1110/18
1.801.00
1.101.80
8/108/10
4/102/10
8/109/10
1/106/10
2/101/10
2/102/10
7/1010/10
5/105/10
7/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ascoli at homeSampdoria away
57
3/51/7
2/52/7
0/54/7
1.800.86
0.801.86
5/55/7
2/51/7
2/50/7
4/56/7
0/54/7
1/51/7
0/52/7
2/52/7
4/54/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ascoli: 2.28
Expected Goals
Sampdoria: 0.5
Ascoli
79%
Draw
14%
Sampdoria
7%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Ascoli
2.20▼
Implied 42%
Edge +36.9%
X
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -14.1%
2 — Sampdoria
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge -22.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ascoli · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Catanzaro#20 vs Ascoli#4
1-6W
17 Oct2026
Ascoli#4 vs Empoli#16
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Sudtirol#7 vs Ascoli#4
0-0D
19 Sept2026
Ascoli#4 vs Avellino#8
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Padova#9 vs Ascoli#4
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Ascoli#4 vs Benevento#5
1-0W
29 Aug2026
Ascoli#4 vs Carrarese#17
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Verona#11 vs Ascoli#4
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Genoa#16 vs Ascoli#4
4-1L
08 Aug2026
Ascoli#4 vs Potenza
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Sampdoria · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Sudtirol#7 vs Sampdoria#19
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Sampdoria#19 vs Arezzo#10
1-2L
09 Oct2026
Avellino#8 vs Sampdoria#19
4-1L
19 Sept2026
Sampdoria#19 vs Catanzaro#20
2-1W
13 Sept2026
Mantova#2 vs Sampdoria#19
2-0L
07 Sept2026
Palermo#1 vs Sampdoria#19
3-1L
29 Aug2026
Sampdoria#19 vs Juve Stabia#14
1-2L
23 Aug2026
Cesena#15 vs Sampdoria#19
1-1D
17 Aug2026
Cremonese#18 vs Sampdoria#19
2-0L
09 Aug2026
Parma#19 vs Sampdoria#19
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Mar2024
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
2-1•
07 Oct2023
Ascoli#4 vs Sampdoria#19
1-1•
20 Oct2022
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
2-2•
17 Mar2012
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
0-0•
15 Oct2011
Ascoli#4 vs Sampdoria#19
1-2•
11 Feb2007
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
2-0•
24 Sept2006
Ascoli#4 vs Sampdoria#19
1-1•
19 Feb2006
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
1-2•
16 Oct2005
Ascoli#4 vs Sampdoria#19
2-1•
23 Feb2003
Sampdoria#19 vs Ascoli#4
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Ascoli
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