Ascoli vs Carrarese

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ascoli favourites at 74% (Carrarese 9%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.03 to 0.53 and 5 wins in Ascoli's last 10 matches to 2 for Carrarese. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 41%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 17%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 19 Apr 2015, when Ascoli won 3-2.