Ascoli vs Benevento

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ascoli favourites at 52% (Benevento 28%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.43. Benevento lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 62%. Ascoli won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 26 Feb 2023, when it finished 0-0.