Ascoli (ITA) vs Lazio (ITA)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ascoli (ITA) favourites at 49% (Lazio (ITA) 28%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.57 to 1.11. Lazio (ITA) lead the head-to-head 3-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 45%. Lazio (ITA) won 2-1, against the model's 49% for Ascoli (ITA).

Key facts before the match

• Lazio (ITA) have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 15 Apr 2007, when it finished 2-2.
• 4 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.