SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · Champions League · Europe

Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Wednesday, 09 December 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Arsenal favourites at 55% (Real Madrid 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.81 to 1.11 and 4 wins from the last 6 meetings to 0. Real Madrid come in with the better recent form (9 wins from 10 to 6), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Key facts

  • Real Madrid have won 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 16 Apr 2025, when Arsenal won 2-1.
Europe•Champions League
Arsenal(4)
W79d
W84d
D88d
L91d
L95d
W99d
D162d
W168d
W174d
W182d
6W · 2D · 2L
vs
Real Madrid(0)
W74d
W78d
W84d
W88d
W92d
D99d
W103d
W169d
W175d
W178d
9W · 1D · 0L
Wednesday, 09 December 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 4-2-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Arsenal at homeReal Madrid away
65
3/65/5
1/60/5
2/60/5
1.831.80
1.170.40
6/65/5
3/63/5
2/61/5
3/62/5
2/60/5
3/63/5
0/60/5
4/63/5
3/62/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Arsenal: 1.81
Expected Goals
Real Madrid: 1.11
Arsenal
55%
Draw
21%
Real Madrid
24%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Arsenal · # = league position now
21 Aug2026
Arsenal#3 vs Coventry#17
3-0W
16 Aug2026
Arsenal#3 vs Manchester City#7
3-0W
12 Aug2026
Arsenal#3 vs Como#4
1-1D
09 Aug2026
Arsenal#3 vs Dortmund#12
2-3L
05 Aug2026
Arsenal#3 vs Betis#11
1-3L
01 Aug2026
Girona#8 vs Arsenal#3
1-4W
30 May2026
Psg#1 vs Arsenal#3
1-1D
24 May2026
Crystal Palace#19 vs Arsenal#3
1-2W
18 May2026
Arsenal#3 vs Burnley#22
1-0W
10 May2026
West Ham#9 vs Arsenal#3
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Real Madrid · # = league position now
26 Aug2026
Real Madrid#2 vs Real Sociedad#5
4-1W
22 Aug2026
Espanyol#13 vs Real Madrid#2
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Schalke#17 vs Real Madrid#2
0-3W
12 Aug2026
Dep. a Coruna#8 vs Real Madrid#2
0-1W
08 Aug2026
Ferencvaros#3 vs Real Madrid#2
1-2W
01 Aug2026
Real Madrid#2 vs Fiorentina#15
2-2D
28 Jul2026
Real Madrid#2 vs Leganes#17
4-1W
23 May2026
Real Madrid#2 vs Ath Bilbao#7
4-2W
17 May2026
Sevilla#6 vs Real Madrid#2
0-1W
14 May2026
Real Madrid#2 vs Oviedo#9
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 Apr2025
Real Madrid#2 vs Arsenal#3
1-2•
08 Apr2025
Arsenal#3 vs Real Madrid#2
3-0•
24 Jul2019
Real Madrid#2 vs Arsenal#3
2-2•
03 Aug2008
Arsenal#3 vs Real Madrid#2
1-0•
08 Mar2006
Arsenal#3 vs Real Madrid#2
0-0•
21 Feb2006
Real Madrid#2 vs Arsenal#3
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.