Arezzo vs Sudtirol

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sudtirol favourites at 64% (Arezzo 16%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 0.75 and 4 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 45%. Sudtirol won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 28 Mar 2021, when Sudtirol won 1-0.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.