Arezzo vs Palermo

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Palermo favourites at 50% (Arezzo 28%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.66 to 1.16 and 6 wins in Palermo's last 10 matches to 3 for Arezzo. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 48%. Palermo won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 19 Mar 2000, when Palermo won 2-0.