Football · Efbet League · Bulgaria
Arda vs Levski Sofia
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Levski Sofia favourites at 75% (Arda 9%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.18 to 0.57, Levski Sofia sitting 1st in the table to Arda's 6th and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Levski Sofia about 54% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 44%.
Key facts
- They last met on 9 Apr 2026, when Levski Sofia won 1-0.
Bulgaria•Efbet League
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-4-6
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1715/9
1.401.50
1.700.90
8/108/10
5/106/10
7/106/10
4/101/10
3/104/10
2/102/10
9/107/10
5/104/10
5/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Arda at homeLevski Sofia away
47
2/45/7
1/42/7
1/40/7
2.001.71
1.250.57
4/46/7
3/45/7
1/41/7
3/44/7
1/40/7
1/43/7
0/41/7
2/43/7
3/44/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Arda: 0.57
Expected Goals
Levski Sofia: 2.18
Arda
9%
Draw
16%
Levski Sofia
75%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 44%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.2%
1 — Arda
5.00▲
Implied 18%
Edge -9.5%
X
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge -11.2%
2 — Levski Sofia
1.70▼
Implied 54%
Edge +20.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Arda · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda#6
1-2W
12 Oct2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Arda#6
5-0L
02 Oct2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Arda#6
2-0L
19 Sept2026
Arda#6 vs Cherno More#14
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Arda#6
4-1L
04 Sept2026
Arda#6 vs Botev Plovdiv#5
2-3L
31 Aug2026
Arda#6 vs Botev Vratsa#10
2-0W
24 Aug2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Arda#6
0-1W
17 Aug2026
Arda#6 vs Lok. Sofia#12
3-1W
08 Aug2026
Dunav Ruse#9 vs Arda#6
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Levski Sofia · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Plzen#9 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-2W
18 Oct2026
Spartak Pleven vs Levski Sofia#1
0-2W
15 Oct2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Cherno More#14 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-2W
17 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Salzburg#2
0-1L
13 Sept2026
Botev Vratsa#10 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-0D
09 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Cska Sofia#2
2-4L
05 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Cska 1948 Sofia#4
1-0W
02 Sept2026
Slavia Sofia#8 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Botev Plovdiv#5 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Apr2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
1-0•
02 Nov2025
Arda#6 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-3•
14 May2025
Arda#6 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-3•
26 Apr2025
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
1-1•
16 Mar2025
Arda#6 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-1•
29 Sept2024
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
2-1•
06 Jul2024
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
0-0•
24 Feb2024
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
4-0•
01 Nov2023
Arda#6 vs Levski Sofia#1
0-0•
11 Jun2023
Levski Sofia#1 vs Arda#6
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Arda
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