Arbroath vs Livingston

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Livingston favourites at 61% (Arbroath 17%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.62 to 0.68, 7 wins in Livingston's last 10 matches to 5 for Arbroath and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 35%. Arbroath won 1-0, against the model's 61% for Livingston.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 5 Jul 2021, when Livingston won 4-0.