Anderlecht vs Lyon

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Anderlecht favourites at 49% (Lyon 26%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.36 to 0.88 and 7 wins in Anderlecht's last 10 matches to 4 for Lyon. Lyon lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 42%. Lyon won 2-1, against the model's 49% for Anderlecht.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 16 Jul 2022, when Anderlecht won 3-0.